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The Crisis in Central America: Simplified


Many who follow U.S politics are aware of President’s Trump’s desire to establish a wall on the southern border. The U.S government views  this as one of the best ways to discourage illegal migrants from entering U.S territory. Why are Central Americans making the trek through challenging terrain to reach the United States? Does the ground situation in these Central American countries have anything to do with this migration?

In this piece, we will look into 3 Central American states, referred to by some scholars as the Northern Triangle of Central America (NTCA). Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala which fall into this category have, in recent years, seen waves of migration to the United States. What motivated these people to abandon their traditional lands and possessions and journey to the United States?

Source: Author.


Recent reports suggest that the number of people from the NTCA who have sought refuge in surrounding countries have increased by 2249 percent from 2011 to 2016. Such levels of migration prompted the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees to refer to this situation as a “humanitarian crisis.”
 
In the past, Latin Americans migrated to the U.S for economic reasons. The Bracero Program for example, allowed Mexican laborers to move to southwestern U.S. farms as guest workers earning a temporary immigration status when the United States faced a labor shortage. In the 1970s and 80s however, around 2 million Central Americans were displaced due to internal armed conflicts.  Some contend that poor economic conditions in these post-war Central American countries is to blame for the present day migration levels. Stephanie Leutert, the director of the Mexico Security Initiative at the University of Texas-Austin believes that the recent collapse of the coffee market intensified economic difficulties for coffee growers in Central America, prompting many to abandon their cultivations and head north for better opportunities. Others maintain that the Great Recession (2008/2009) gravely impacted NTCA countries pushing many to leave their homes and journey to the United States.

So is it correct to categorize these people as ‘economic migrants’? Or are there more factors at play motivating this exodus to USA and other regional countries? A survey (of patients and people receiving treatment in MSF-supported clinics from NTCA countries) by the Doctors Without Borders / Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) revealed that 39.2% claimed direct attacks or threats to themselves or their families, extortion or gang-forced recruitment as the main reasons for fleeing their county. The survey further argued that:

“Along the migration route from the NTCA, migrants and refugees are preyed upon by criminal organizations, sometimes with the tacit approval or complicity of national authorities, and subjected to violence and other abuses —abduction, theft, extortion, torture, and rape— that can leave them injured and traumatized”

Despite the dangers along the way, many still believe that the benefits far outweigh the risks. The International Crisis Group (ICG) notes that nearly 20,000 were killed from 2014 to 2017 in El Salvador. According to the ICG, this figure is higher than that of Libya, Somalia and Ukraine when these states were facing violent conflicts.

Let us examine the case of El Salvador to better understand why such violence originated in the NTCA.
Source: https://www.refworld.org/pdfid/5c07a4f94.pdf

The Mara Salvatrucha (MS 13) is a powerful criminal gang said to have been formed in Los Angeles by men who had fled the 1980-1992 Salvadoran civil war. The civil war in El Salvador at the time, pitted a Marxist-Leninist guerrilla group, termed the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front against the government of El Salvador. The US Reagan administration, during the height of the war was believed to have provided 1.5 million dollars a day to prop up the Salvadoran Government against leftist forces. Once the civil war ended, many who had fled El Salvador and joined the MS 13 criminal gang in Los Angeles, were deported back to their home country. The Salvadoran government however, was unable to bear this influx. Economic stagnation and unemployment prompted adolescent Salvadorans to join the MS 13 in El Salvador.[1] A corrupt law enforcement setup, expedited the rise of rival criminal groups in the country.

Christy Thornton, a sociologist at the Johns Hopkins University argues that “the destabilisation in the 1980s – which was very much part of the US Cold War effort – was incredibly important in creating the kind of political and economic conditions that exist in those countries today.” CFR backs up this claim, reporting  that individuals from NTCA countries often “cite violence, forced gang recruitment, and extortion, as well as poverty and lack of opportunity, as their reasons for leaving.”
Source: https://www.pri.org/stories/2016-06-27/map-here-are-countries-worlds-highest-murder-rates

The Migration Policy Institute shows that by 2015, as many as 3.4 million people born in El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras were living in the United States.[2] This is more than double the number  which resided in USA in 2000. Over the years, U.S President's have taken numerous steps to stem the flow of people. President Bush initiated “Operation Streamline” in 2005 to deter migrants from arriving at the US border. The American Civil Liberties Union states that through this project, “in addition to being processed for deportation, apprehended migrants are referred by the Department of Homeland Security to the Department of Justice for federal prosecution, and are typically detained for 1 to 14 days before appearing in court.

President Barack Obama focused on supporting Central American governments by increasing assistance to help the region’s law enforcement, counter-narcotics, and justice systems. President Trump however, believes that adopting a harsher stance is necessary and slashed aid to El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras in March 2019.

Despite the ongoing criminal activity and economic hardships afflicting these communities, the response from the international community has been rather muted. In this backdrop, the UNHRC ascertains that a “significant percentage of those fleeing from the NTCA countries may be in need of international protection, in line with the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees, as well as the 1984 Cartagena Declaration on Refugees.”

For more on this topic refer to the following presentation: https://prezi.com/view/ldOFd73oVmmhWbUMi8GX/ 

Mr. Shakthi De Silva serves as a Visiting Lecturer in the Bandaranaike Diplomatic Training Institute. He has published widely including in South Asian Survey, the Global–E journal of the University of California, and the London School of Economics South Asia Blog.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and not the institutional views of the BIDTI, nor do they necessarily reflect the position of any other institution or individual with which the author is affiliated.



[1] MS 13 and a rival MS 18 gang are  estimated to have as many as eighty-five thousand members.
[2] As per WorldMeters 2015 data, the total population of Guatemala exceeded 16 million, the population of El Salvador reached 6 million while the population of Honduras was slightly lower than 9 million.


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